Bristol Rovers final 2021/22 League Two points tally - according to the stats experts

It’s hard to predict how the rest of the season will pan out for Bristol Rovers and the rest of the League Two given how tight it is in the promotion race.

After the Gas’ 2-1 win over Bradford City on Saturday, they sit fifth in the division and are on 66 points, along with four other teams.

Port Vale, who won 2-1 late on against Barrow on Saturday are in third, as are sixth-placed Mansfield Town, with both teams having their games in hand tomorrow.

The closeness of the table makes it hard to know whether there will be a normal end of season finish on May 7 or whether the play-offs will be needed, with three further games in the offing, including a potential trip to Wembley Stadium.

With six games remaining, three at home and three away, it is that fine balance needed to get the points on the board, with Rovers boasting one of the best records in front of their own supporters.

Rovers have not lost at home since the 2-1 defeat to the Valiants back in December, and have only lost three times in the league since the start of 2022.

Form has come at the right time with the side shooting up from 17th to fifth and few would have been able to predict the run Joey Barton’s side are on when they turned over the calendar to mark the New Year.

Based on Five Thirty Eight, their match predictions are based on the number of goals they expect to score during the match, as well as home advantage, running a number of simulations before coming to a conclusive outcome.

So based on the findings, how many points does the American data website see Rovers picking up from the 18 on offer and will it be enough for their end of season goal?