Bristol City kicked off their 2022/23 EFL Championship campaign with a 2-1 defeat to Hull City at the MKM Stadium on Saturday.
The Robins are tipped for another difficult season in English football’s second tier and defeat on the opening day of the season came despite Andreas Weimann’s 30th minute opener giving them the lead against the Tigers.
The result has done little to see them climb up the predicted final table of the FiveThirtyEight supercomputer - which uses Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings to show each teams percentage chance of winning the title, reaching the play-offs and being relegated.
The statistics also provide a predicted points tally that each team will finish on when the regular season wraps up in May 2023.
The supercomputer predicts that Nigel Pearson’s side will end the season on 56 points but what would that mean for their league position and what are their chances of out performing their current prediction?
Here is how the supercomputer predicts the 2022/23 EFL Championship table will look at the end of the season as of Monday, August 1 - after the weekend’s opening fixtures but before Watford take on Sheffield United in the Monday night game:
1. WATFORD, ENGLAND - AUGUST 01: Rob Edwards Manager of Watford celebrates the win during the Sky Bet Championship between Watford and Sheffield United at Vicarage Road on August 1, 2022 in Watford, United Kingdom. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images)
Win Championship: 23%, Promoted: 47%, Play-offs: 34%, Relegated:
2. Norwich City
Win Championship: 19%, Promoted: 44%, Play-offs: 34%, Relegated:
3. Burnley
Win Championship: 13%, Promoted: 34%, Play-offs: 34%, Relegated: 1%
4. WATFORD, ENGLAND - AUGUST 01: Rhian Brewster of Sheffield United during the Sky Bet Championship between Watford and Sheffield United at Vicarage Road on August 1, 2022 in Watford, United Kingdom. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images)
Win Championship: 12%, Promoted: 33%, Play-offs: 34%, Relegated: 1%